He didn’t. But his own economic advisers say the total could be as little as 1.5 million, and independent estimates range down to as low as 800,000. This was an excellent speech. I might not remember both of them. So I think there’s going to be efforts, and maybe they’ll succeed, but I think it’s a tough road. But what are you seeing as his foreign policy agenda, such as it is at this point? ... (New York) First published January 3, 2017… What do you think will be the impact on the [inaudible] feel the heat in the congressional election, mid-term congressional election because of this failure of Obama or of this non-[inaudible] on the question? These are very moderate proposals where he at least has some chance of getting some Republican support. You can’t win as a Republican just by pushing the social issues. Question: I’ve seen opinions mostly supporting the President’s point of view, no matter what Alito was muttering under his nose. A core 20-25 percent support who really deeply and fervently believe in signature issues of the religious right such as eliminating abortion, making sure that marriage is only between a man and a woman, allowing school prayer, cracking down on pornography. On foreign policy, the headline was “What wasn’t said.” The dog didn’t bark at all when it came to foreign policy, or to change the metaphor, foreign policy was really a very small tail on a much larger domestic animal. The other moment, which perhaps few have noticed was Barack Obama asking for the repeal of the “Don’t Ask/Don’t Tell” policy on gays in the military. And then do you think that he will return one time with this public option, maybe in the second term when he will not be dependent on the opinions of health insurance companies and so on? President Barack Obama’s final State of the Union address came up short of the facts on several topics: 1. Thank you very much. Question: I’m from South Korea, Seung Koh, Yonhap News Agency. And getting out of Afghanistan. You’re already seeing proposals in Congress, there are proposals at the state level as well. So the failure of Barack Obama to deliver on his major initiatives combined with the fact that the economy has not improved nearly as much as Obama and others would have liked, combine together to produce a record fall in the President’s approval rating from the mid to high 60s, down to about 50 percent. The 2016 State of the Union Address was given by the 44th President of the United States, Barack Obama, on Tuesday, January 12, 2016, at 9 p.m. EST, in the chamber of the United States House of Representatives to the 114th United States Congress. He also had a vision and the vision was that we need to move into the transition to the newer, more green economy based on alternative forms of energy. Basically saying we should open up the military to those of different sexual orientation, gays and lesbians. He began to change the direction of American foreign policy towards a more cooperative, more multilateral, more diplomatic approach to the world. At OnTheIssues.org, you can see the view of every candidate on every issue. The second question is about Republicans --. This is what the American people are really caring about right now. He quoted the Congressional Budget Office as saying health care legislation could “bring do… It was just kind of the old Republican mantra of lower taxes, less regulation, less government. Finally, while Barack Obama, as most Presidents do, did have a pretty broad laundry list of proposals beyond the economy, talked about immigration reform, health care, education -- he can’t do all that. Dr. Lichtman: Big business always has a tremendous influence on American policy, whether you’re a Democrat or a Republican, for a host of reasons. But he made the pivot. John McCain, Barack Obama’s opponent, was one of the key figures in a major immigration reform proposal -- the McCain/Kennedy Bill, and yet he said not one word about immigration during the campaign because he knew how explosive it was. Only one American President has served four terms and he won every one of his four elections overwhelmingly, none less than by about ten points. Barack Obama's State of the Union address – full text. That is where he fell afoul of the gridlock in Washington. If the economy -- Obviously there’s still going to be high unemployment in the economy, but if the economy is at least on the up-swing, and particularly if Obama can get a few of his proposals through, I think the Democrats will sustain some losses, but will still keep solid control of both Houses of the Congress. Question: There is factual question there about whether foreign money is allowed to --. It was 20 seconds in the speech, but this is a hot button social issue in the United States. US President Barack Obama after his 2015 State of the Union address Tuesday. They didn’t want one of the old divisive leaders about whom opinion has already crystallized. Those are things you’ve heard Republicans in fat talk about. The Supreme Court has left the door open to that. Something on the order of $40 billion in profits. So he has no political ground to depend on. One, what Obama really wants in his heart of hearts and two, what he’s going to do in his second term that he hasn’t even been elected to as yet. Right now you’ve got this newly elected Scott Brown, the Senator from Massachusetts. Republicans made a fundamental strategic decision early on in the Obama administration. This is a minefield that right now he’d rather tread around than walk into. That’s always a hot button issue. Question: Lalit Jha from Press Trust of India. I don’t think they’ll feel a whole lot of heat from Latino voters, because I think Latino voters also right now are likewise most concerned about the economy, and there certainly is no alternative. The one thing Franklin Delano Roosevelt couldn’t do was take on the Supreme Court of the United States. Number one, if business isn’t functioning, jobs aren’t going to be created. But he hasn’t used to this point that magic, that charisma, that eloquence, that ability to create a special mystical bond with the American people. But there was a lot in there that Republicans, if they wanted to, could support. The text, as prepared for delivery, is also available on Medium and Facebook notes , continuing efforts to meet people where they are and make the speech as accessible as possible. January 12, 20168:45 PM ET. In fact the opposite has happened. It’s absolutely poison to try to take on the Supreme Court in any substantial way. They wanted a new face. The party is somewhat divided between the social and economic conservatives. The only time that’s ever happened in the history of the country was during the Great Depression when Franklin Roosevelt --, Question: [Inaudible] between the big business and President Obama, will financial big business of the United States make more and more pressure on American --. Generally foreign policy issues, you describe, we saw it. In 1945, President Franklin Roosevelt's address was read to a Joint Session of the House and Senate. Remarks of President Barack Obama – State of the Union Address As Delivered The White House is once again making the full text of the State of the Union widely available online. Question: My second question is about the people who, I imagine in the Republican party, your opinion after this, I see them like fiscally responsible but not social conservatives. I mean foreign policy is a great paradox for American presidents. Obviously he doesn’t have any capital, I would say, that he wants to spend on that. So by doing that I think he’s essentially trying to achieve two things. U.S. President Barack Obama delivers his final State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress in Washington January 12, 2016. The greatest example of this is Franklin Roosevelt. Newt Gingrich was a Republican Member of the U.S. House and political strategist in the 1980s and 1990s who later briefly became Speaker of the U.S. House. The top Democrat on the House intelligence committee said Sunday he believed the Obama administration should have ... Sun June 25, 2017 CNN. It was the hugest in the American history. Question: Right. On anything. Below is President Obama's final State of the Union address as prepared for delivery. Do you think that Mr. Obama really wanted to have public option, or he didn’t want it because of big business and because of further donations? A president can nudge the economy, he can coax it a little bit, but he said himself, there’s no magic button a president can press to control the economy. The snap polls. Instead of filibusters becoming rare events, they have become the norm, producing what I call this gridlock in Washington. He decided that what he needed to do was pivot away from a very unpopular major overhaul of health care that looked like it was unlikely anyway to get through the United States Senate with the Democrats losing their 60th vote; and pivot instead to the three things that were first and foremost on the minds of the American people. It’s very very difficult to have an audience and captivate the audience. Some young or maybe not so young Republican who is unknown, but comes to the fore -- a Scott Brown, Massachusetts; a Bob McDonnell in Virginia. The Republican is kind of the poster boy for independent Republicanism, and that’s the way he campaigned. President Obama and his aides promised that this year’s State of the Union address would be different, and he delivered on that promise. Question: Marcos Bassets. Then he had to face the big issues, notably his attempt to overhaul the American health care system and his attempt to adopt a new and fundamental approach to climate change and the environment. The 2015 State of the Union Address was given by the 44th President of the United States, Barack Obama, on Tuesday, January 20, 2015, at 9 p.m. EST, in the chamber of the United States House of Representatives to the 114th United States Congress. Here's a bit of fact checking. It was put into effect by liberals in the 1970s to reduce the votes it took to kill a filibuster from 67 to 60 in the hope that things could get through the Congress. Professor of American Political History, American University, Business Support: Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ), Small and Disadvantaged Business Utilization, Western Hemisphere (Latin America, the Caribbean, Canada), Counterterrorism & Countering Violent Extremism, Office of U.S. Foreign Assistance Resources, U.S. Agency for International Development. To what point is just a slogan, a sound byte? Presidential parties in mid-term elections almost always sustain losses. So I haven’t seen anyone make much of that issue yet, but that’s a pretty potent political issue. If they took a fraction of one percent of that they’d control a lot of American politics. So that statement is almost an oxymoron. Dr. Lichtman: That one I can answer. The response to the State of the Union address is a rebuttal speech, often brief, delivered by a representative (or representatives) of an opposition party following a presidential State of the Union address.When the president is a Democrat, the rebuttal is typically given by a Republican, and vice versa.. Recently there was big criticism from Obama on people who got huge bonuses on the end of the last year. He embellished his record on jobs, citing “more than 14 million new jobs,” without mentioning that’s only private sector jobs and only since the job losses hit bottom in February 2010. President Trump finally delivered his second State of the Union address on February 5th in the House Chamber. And you saw health care put into a decidedly lower priority. I would like to know which [inaudible] scenario in these mid-term elections in November? So if banks aren’t lending, if businesses aren’t investing, if businesses aren’t hiring, then there’s not much Barack Obama can do, is there, to really get the economy going? It’s the Theodore Roosevelts, the Franklin Roosevelts and the Ronald Reagans, the two-term presidents that we remember. Dr. Lichtman: Something in nuclear proliferation, negotiations are underway with Russia right now which could beat some significant fruit. There have been 97 total in-person addresses from 1790 to 2020. Instead of framing the national debate, instead of explaining to the American people what’s at stake, what his ideas were in simple terms and how they’d benefit the American people, he pitched health care into the sausage factory of the Congress. So I think he has come up with modest proposals, and a slim chance of getting enacted, and I think for the most part he is counting on the natural upswing of the business cycle to produce recovery, not anything the government is going to do. Dr. Lichtman: The Republicans chose Bob McDonnell because of the very thing I’ve been talking about. There was no headline coming out of there. Question: [Inaudible] that the Congress might actually do something that he proposed? Republicans have two choices. Dr. Lichtman: Thank you very much, good morning. I would like t know if you foresee a confrontation between Obama and the Supreme Court after this last event. Because if you look at the old line leadership, and I don’t mean old in age, but those who are competing in 2008 -- Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney, John McCain -- none of them really can pull together the party and be a consensus candidate. And what would be palatable to the American public and to the Congress? But what’s feasible in terms of maybe having a success? Huge losses. My question is regarding health care, and it would be about public option. I think we saw last night a bit of a strategy of making concessions and reaching out. I thought it would have been a lot more interesting if he had given a direct counterpoint to what Obama did, rather than a kind of a set of Republican talking points. That’s where the key independent voters are. That would be a big accomplishment for the President. The practice began in 1966 when Republican U.S. President Barack Obama delivers the seventh and final State of the Union Address from the Capitol Building, January 12th, 2015. It’s not the Herbert Hoovers, the William Howard Tafts, and the Jimmy Carters that we tend to remember the one term president. Obama’s first State of the Union went on to have a total viewership of just over 48 million, ... (1.1/4) was up 22% over the 2017 version in the 18-49 demo. He kind of went from a top five contender to perhaps a bottom 15 to 20 contender. 2017 State of the Union address to Congress, plus the Democratic response, Feb. 28, 2017. President Obama slapped tariffs on ... today because we stopped a surge in Chinese tires," Obama said in his 2012 State of the Union ... First published January 3, 2017: 3:41 PM ET. Very difficult to avoid losses. Some of which were fairly far-reaching, and obviously things Republicans will not support like moving to alternative energy, investment in high speed trains, and things of that nature. I mean that if he continues to make some concessions and the Republican party will continue to oppose and try to defeat him, I think it only contributed to the losing support from the labor party. Moreover, even though the Democrats held in principle 60 votes in the United States Senate, Barack Obama found it very difficult to rally even his own party behind some of the elements of his agenda. But I think for the foreseeable future, a major overhaul of the health care system is simply not in the cards and the President of course did not say so in so many words, but clearly as part of this pivot indicated that. What about Jindal? I think you will see health care reemerge, but in a much more limited fashion than we’ve seen at this point. A once-shuttered warehouse is now a state-of-the art lab where new workers are mastering the 3D printing that has the potential to revolutionize the way we make almost everything. By definition, if you govern well in your first term, you get a second term. Although even there you saw him make concessions to conservatives, talking about offshore drilling and nuclear power, not just things near and dear to liberal hearts like wind and solar power. A good economy is no guarantee of success in elections, but for the party in power a bad economy is a guarantee of failure. The 60 vote rule is perhaps the greatest example in American history of the law of unintended consequences. Delivered on February 28, 2017, the speech was not officially deemed a " State of the Union address "; like the freshman addresses of President George H. W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama, President Trump treated this speech as simply an … Dr. Lichtman: Can I answer your first question first, then we’ll get to your second. It contributed to Republican victories and gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, and contributed to the Republicans’ stunning victory in Massachusetts for Ted Kennedy’s seat. Not what he wants to do. They decided to follow the Newt Gingrich strategy. He talked a lot about the social issues but spent almost zero political capital on the social issues once he was elected President. So I think under the best of circumstances the Democrats will sustain some losses. They showed him moving up about 20 points on questions like is he moving the country in the right direction, does he have good ideas on the economy? It all depends on circumstance at this point. I take that back. It might, of course, reappear in the second term, depending on the composition of the Congress, but it’s going to take a lot of votes in the Congress to get that through. 2017 State of the Union address to Congress , dated 2017-01, excerpts by Donald Trump and Steve Beshear and others, Tired of media reports of fundraising and poll results instead of policy issues? Obama said that himself last night. When you said that the biggest threat for Obama now basically, conservative Republicans and in his speech many things that he was mentioning, it’s just again the Republican position. (2020). During his first 100 days, Obama got the biggest stimulus bill in the history of the country through Congress. It has more problems for him than possibilities in terms of the war in Afghanistan turning sour, the withdrawal from Iraq being stalled, new acts of terrorism against the United States, continuing difficulties in dealing with Iran and North Korea. The following is a list of in-person Annual Message and State of the Union Addresses given by Presidents of the United States before Joint Sessions of Congress. By definition, if you govern poorly in your first term, you don’t get a second term. And with the victory of Scott Brown, the Republican who stunningly took over the seat held by the liberal conscience Ted Kennedy, the Republicans believe that their strategy of implacable opposition to what Obama wants to do is succeeding. Barack Obama did it rhetorically, and it was quite a rhetorical moment, but absolutely not. President Trump's budget director Mick Mulvaney claimed the Obama administration was ... jobs created," Mulvaney said on "State of the Union." He barely talked about foreign policy at all. A couple of, I thought, interesting headline moments in the speech were the following: First, right in their face Barack Obama rebuked the United States Supreme Court, or at least the five conservative members of the Supreme Court for their recent decision allowing corporations to pour money into political campaigns in unlimited fashion. To what extent do you shore up your base and to what extent do you reach out to the opposition and to those in the middle? Today we have with us Professor Lichtman who is going to give us an analysis of Obama’s first State of the Union address. It costs, to win a contested seat just for the U.S. House it can cost millions of dollars. They don’t want these regulations. Barack Obama was at a similar pivot point going into the State of the Union Address. He couldn’t even get his own Democratic party to support it. There’s already a Scott Brown for President Committee I think formed. So I think it’s wide open in the Republican party for a surprise candidate. If speeches were governing, the President would be a stunning success. There isn’t a consensus leader right now in the Republican party. I wouldn’t put him as a champion of the religious right. The Geopolitical Discourse of Barack Obama’s State of the Union Addresses: Pursuing a Geopolitical Reorientation from the Middle East. Rather he said I’m in essence going to open the debate again. Presiding over this joint session was the House Speaker , John Boehner , accompanied by Joe Biden , the Vice President of the United States , in his capacity as President of the Senate . One, maybe on some of these things Republicans will come around and they’ll actually have some accomplishments to go to the electorate with in 2010, and there is a bit of a pressure there. If he actually fulfills that promise, and Afghanistan even seems remotely stable, and remotely viable, that will be a big success for him. Dr. Lichtman: That’s always the dilemma, obviously, for any leader. Question: Zoltan Mikes. But the conflict between Mr. Wilson and the crowd came to a head toward the end of the 40-minute question-and-answer period, when he responded to a question about Mr. Obama’s health care law.

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